One way to answer the question How many strides does it take to walk the Appalachian Trail is to estimate two quantities:
L number of strides N = ----- d
Now, each estimate will have some uncertainty; for example, one group may guess
L = 1200 km +/- 100 km d = 68 cm +/- 3 cm so N = 1,765,706 strides (but how many digits are justified?)
How can we incorporate the uncertainties in each of our two quantities to figure out the uncertainty in the number of strides?
In this particular case (division), there is a relatively simple rule: add the fractional uncertainty in each value to find the fractional uncertainty in the result.
ΔL 100 km fractional uncertainty ------ = ------- = 0.083 L 1200 km Δd 3 cm fractional uncertainty ----- = ------- = 0.044 d 68 cm so ... ΔN fractional uncertainty ----- = 0.083 + 0.044 = 0.127 N
One can also think of this procedure in terms of percentages:
"The length of the trail is known to 8 percent, and the length of a stride to 4 percent, so the number of strides will be known to (8+4) = 12 percent."
Okay, now time for you to finish this example.
You can find a great deal more information on combining quantities by reading
Copyright © Michael Richmond. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.